I've purposely waited a few days before writing this post, mainly to let my impressions about the MacBook Air (MBA) stabilize. They finally have, and if you want the short version, here it is: I'm not terribly impressed. It's a reasonable machine for certain users, but I think my definition of certain users and Apple's are two different things.
And maybe therein lies the rub: the success -- or lack thereof -- of the MBA will be how many align with my line of thinking, versus that of those who think the MBA is a runaway hit.
When the MBA was unveiled during the keynote, I was thrilled: I've been looking to replace my MBP with a newer machine, preferably one that's smaller and yet still has pro-class power. At first glance, the MBA looked like it had a fighting chance to be such a machine. Those hopes fell away rather quickly. Now, as I write this, I can soberly say that I have no desire for an MBA given my requirements.
Cutting to the chase, here's how I see the MBA: it's clearly and unavoidably a second machine. To think it can be used as a primary machine is to admit that your computing needs are incredibly light or that you really haven't thought through the MBA's downsides. Anyone with even a mildly wide array of computing requirements trying to simplify and consolidate to the MBA as a single machine will likely be disappointed.
Like everything else in technology, the MBA represents a tradeoff in terms of benefits and cost. To me -- and I'm guessing to the larger market -- the costs associated with the benefits will be an upside-down proposition.
THE UPSIDES
The form factor, obviously. The MBA achieves what I'm sure was its primary goal with aplomb: the machine is thin and light to an otherworldly degree. When people talk about ultraportable or subnotebook machines in terms of minimalist heft and thickness, the MBA is the new high-water mark.
Aesthetics. The MBA is gorgeous, quite literally the most attractive and modern-looking laptop I've ever seen. And from all the Macworld show floor reports I've read, it's doubly stunning in person. If you want a machine that will turn heads in Starbucks, your ship has arrived.
Remote optical disc technology. Seeing how the MBA doesn't come with an internal optical drive, the fact that the MBA can access another Mac or PC's on-board optical drive is outstanding. Again, however, this clearly suggests that the MBA is a second computer for a given user/family, and that there's another, presumably more fully-featured, machine in the household. Nonetheless, a very smart and convenient technology.
THE DOWNSIDES
An insufficient array of standard ports. No ethernet, no Firewire, and only one USB on a modern machine? In my book, that's badly crippled. I know you can by adapters/dongles to address these shortcomings, but (1) they represent extra cost, and (2) they're inconvenient. I'd much rather have more functionality built into the machine at the expense of a few points of aesthetic/size. I/O functions are a huge part of daily computing, and to require the user to affix accessories to the machine to do them is shortsighted. What seems no big deal at first will become annoying over time.
Sealed battery, which means it can't be replaced by the user. This is the biggest show-stopper for me, and likely the heaviest impetus to the comments I've seen around the web that decry the MBA as "not a real computer." If you're on a plane or vacation and your battery decides to go tits up, so does your machine until you send it in to Apple for replacement -- which means you also send away your entire computer and personal data that's stored on your hard drive/SSD array. This isn't a phone or iPod; this is a computer. Having a non-user-replaceable battery again hints at Apple's bias towards this machine as a second machine in a household or straight-away hobby machine.
Stupid nickle-and-diming by Apple. This isn't so much a fault of the MBA, but it does relate and contribute to the MBA's purchase and ownership experience. Want a Frontrow remote controller, even though the software is included in Leopard? That'll be $20, please. Want an ethernet adapter? Cha-ching. How about a different video adapter? Upcharge. Would it have killed Apple to include these in the box, seeing how the machine has very obvious holes in functionality/convenience as it relates to the average user? No, it wouldn't have.
The best way for me to explain my feelings about the MBA is this: it's upsides are tactical, while it's downsides are strategic. Over time and using the MBA daily, the downsides will permeate through the user's experience far more than will the upsides.
Again, I go back to the notion that this is a satellite machine, period. And while that's fine and well for some people, not everyone has $1800 (or over $3000 if you want the SSD storage) lying around for a convenience machine. Apple made the MBA's target market smaller via conscious design choice, which isn't a necessary concession just because you're talking about an ultraportable. I think the assumption that an ultraportable computer would naturally be a second machine is a bad one.
If I were buying an ultraportable machine today on pure features vs. price alone, it'd be impossible to pass up the Dell XPS M1330, which is a very nice machine. LED backlit LCD, available 200 GB 7200 RPM HD or SSD option, cellular networking, 3 GB RAM for no extra cost, dedicated GPU, battery-powered WiFi catcher -- it's about the most loaded ultraportable on the market, and it surrenders about a pound to the MBA. Yes, it runs Vista and not OSX, so I'm not exactly talking apples to apples (the pun sucks, I know), but nonetheless it's the best that the market offers in this computing category. I've seen and used one, and it's a nice machine.
I've read several times elsewhere on the web that the MBA is the new G4 Cube, which is Apple's most recent big-time flop. I don't think the MBA is that far off the mark, but make no mistake: this is not a volume sales product. It will fit within a niche, and my hope is that it's simply a first-generation model that hints of much better things to come, both unto its own product line as well as the standard MacBooks and MacBook Pros.
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